From the Grand Forks Herald:
The Red River at East Grand Forks and Grand Forks appears to be cresting, although it’s “oscillating,” an inch or three up or down and likely will do that for some time, said Steve Buan, of the National Weather Service’s North Central River Forecast Center in Chanhassan, Minn.
As of about 11:35 a.m. today, the Red was at 40.8 feet at the East Grand Forks gauge, Buan said.
“I don’t expect it will go up materially from here, but even in 15-minute intervals it’s moving 1 to 3 inches. It’s been as high as 40.89 feet and as low as 40.66 feet (in the past 12 hours).”
But no actual crest is being pegged yet until it’s clear the river will drop consistently, he said.
The faster-but-lower-than-expected crest reached here is typical of what has happened the past week up and down the Red.
On Sunday, the official crest forecast for the Red at East Grand Forks was 45 feet to hit Thursday.
The Red crested in Fargo earlier today just below 33.3 feet; it was at 33.22 feet at 11:15 a.m., down from 33.27 feet a few hours earlier. That’s five feet below the crest forecast last Thursday to hit this Thursday.
It’s not a normal crest moving down the Red from south to north, with the typical two-day or more interval between, say, Fargo and East Grand Forks crests, because the spring melt hasn’t operated quite like expected, Buan said. That means it may be a “broad” crest, lasting longer and varying as crests from upstream move through, he said.